THE GAP ON THE CURVE.
#0
The plate says a black-white gap of about one standard deviation sits on the same bell curve.
Two overlapping curves, means marked about 85 and 100.
SteelMan: A mean gap of that size is the standard report from U.S. IQ batteries.
Cut: The plate's 85 and 100 are its marks. One curve does not make the gap genetic.
ONE STANDARD DEVIATION.
#1
The plate says the black-white gap is about 15 points, one standard deviation.
A ruler marks 15 points between two means.
SteelMan: The APA task force treated a black-white test-score gap as a known finding and left its cause open.
Cut: Fifteen points is the adult full-scale figure often cited. It is not every subtest, and it is not a cause.
THE TAIL.
#2
The plate says a one-standard-deviation mean gap becomes a several-fold gap in the right tail.
A threshold line cuts two curves, the higher mean supplying more of the tail.
SteelMan: A mean shift does change tail ratios if the distributions are roughly normal.
Cut: The plate's multiple is not calculated. Tail ratios also depend on variance, which the plate does not show.
g, NOT A SUBTEST.
#3
The plate says the gap is largest on the g factor, not on a single subtest.
A factor arrow is larger than the subtest arrows.
SteelMan: g is the common factor across cognitive tests. The gap is not confined to one item type.
Cut: The plate does not show a factor analysis. A larger g loading is not a genetic finding.
REACTION TIME.
#4
The plate says elementary cognitive tasks, including reaction time, show a smaller gap in the same direction.
A timer sits beside an IQ card.
SteelMan: Choice reaction time correlates modestly with g. Group differences there are smaller and less stable.
Cut: The plate treats a timer as the same object as a full-scale IQ. It is not.
NO TEST BIAS.
#5
The plate says the tests predict grades and job performance equally across groups, so the gap is not a biased item.
A regression line is the same for two groups.
SteelMan: Predictive validity is the standard test of bias. Equal slopes cut against a simple item-bias account.
Cut: Equal prediction does not explain the mean gap. The plate's lines are not a validity study.
THE SPEARMAN HYPOTHESIS.
#6
The plate says the black-white gap is larger on more g-loaded tests.
A scatter of subtests rises with g loading.
SteelMan: That rank-order pattern is the Spearman hypothesis, and it has been reported on several batteries.
Cut: The plate's scatter is unlabeled. A g pattern is not a heritability.
WITHIN-GROUP HERITABILITY.
#7
The plate says IQ is substantially heritable within groups, and that this does not by itself explain the group gap.
A twin diagram is marked high heritability, then a separate group arrow.
SteelMan: The APA statement said genetic differences contribute substantially to individual differences, and that the cause of group differences was not settled.
Cut: The plate is right to separate the two. It then leans on the within-group figure as if it transferred.
BETWEEN IS NOT WITHIN.
#8
The plate says a high within-group heritability does not logically settle the between-group gap.
A within arrow and a between arrow are drawn as different questions.
SteelMan: The logical point is correct. Heritability is a within-population variance share.
Cut: The plate uses the logical point and still treats the group gap as genetic on other plates. Both cannot be a proof.
THE ADOPTION DESIGN.
#9
The plate says transracial adoption is the clean test and that the gap remained.
Black children in white homes are still below white adoptees.
SteelMan: The Minnesota study found black adoptees about 15 to 17 points below white adoptees at ages 7 and 17, before Flynn correction.
Cut: The 1992 authors did not call the result a genetic proof. Late testing, selective placement, and pre-adoption conditions remain open.
THE MINNESOTA FOLLOW-UP.
#10
The plate says the gap was larger at 17 than the early headlines implied.
Two ages, 7 and 17, with the gap marked persistent.
SteelMan: The follow-up retested the children at about 17. The black-white adoptee gap remained.
Cut: Flynn-corrected figures published later are larger, not smaller. The plate does not print those corrections.
THE EYFERTH CAVEAT.
#11
The plate says the Eyferth study of occupation children is the usual reply and is a selected sample.
A German sample is marked selected.
SteelMan: Eyferth is a small study of children of Allied soldiers and German mothers. It is not a U.S. population sample.
Cut: The plate dismisses it without the result. A selected sample can still cut a universal genetic claim.
THE FLYNN EFFECT.
#12
The plate says scores rose across the century and the black-white gap did not close by the same amount.
Two rising lines, the gap marked smaller but open.
SteelMan: Scores did rise. The black-white gap narrowed on some tests in some decades and not on others.
Cut: The plate's 'did not close' is too flat. NAEP and some IQ series show partial convergence.
THE NARROWING.
#13
The plate says the gap narrowed and then stalled.
A falling gap flattens.
SteelMan: Dickens and Flynn reported narrowing on some instruments through the late twentieth century.
Cut: The plate's stall date is not given. A stall on one test is not a stall on all of them.
THE NAEP GAP.
#14
The plate says the NAEP black-white gap narrowed after the 1970s and remains.
Two score lines, a remaining gap.
SteelMan: NAEP long-term trend gaps did narrow and remain on reading and math.
Cut: The plate does not print the scale points. NAEP is not an IQ test.
THE SAT GAP.
#15
The plate says the SAT black-white gap is stable.
Two SAT means, a fixed gap.
SteelMan: College Board means differ by race, and the gap has not closed.
Cut: SAT takers are not a population sample. The plate's means are not printed.
THE GRE GAP.
#16
The plate says the GRE gap matches the IQ gap.
A GRE card sits on the same 15-point ruler.
SteelMan: Graduate exam means differ by group.
Cut: The plate equates a selected exam with a population IQ. The samples are not the same.
JOB PERFORMANCE.
#17
The plate says g predicts job performance and the gap reappears in rated performance.
A validity arrow runs from g to a job rating.
SteelMan: Meta-analyses find g predicts training and job performance.
Cut: A rating gap is not an IQ gap. Supervisor ratings have their own bias.
TRAINING SUCCESS.
#18
The plate says the gap appears in training scores, not only in paper tests.
A classroom scorecard differs by group.
SteelMan: Training criteria correlate with g. Group differences there are reported.
Cut: The plate's card is unlabeled. Training is not independent of the same schooling.
REGRESSION TO THE MEAN.
#19
The plate says children of high-scoring black parents regress toward a lower group mean.
A parent-child diagram regresses to different means.
SteelMan: Regression to the group mean is the prediction if the means differ and the trait is imperfectly transmitted.
Cut: The plate treats that prediction as proof of a genetic mean. The same pattern follows from any stable mean difference.
THE SES CONTROL.
#20
The plate says the gap shrinks but remains after a socioeconomic control.
Two bars, uncontrolled and controlled, the second shorter.
SteelMan: SES accounts for a share of the gap and not all of it in most regressions.
Cut: The plate's remaining share is not a coefficient. SES is partly downstream of the same scores.
THE INCOME CONTROL.
#21
The plate says matching on parental income does not close the gap.
Two income-matched bars still differ.
SteelMan: Income is a weak stand-in for the cognitive environment. Matched-income gaps are reported.
Cut: The plate's match is not a study. Income bands hide wealth and parental education.
PARENTAL EDUCATION.
#22
The plate says the gap remains inside the same parental-education cell.
A college-parent cell still shows a gap.
SteelMan: Parent education is the stronger SES covariate, and a gap inside that cell is reported.
Cut: The plate does not show the cell size. College-educated parents are not one environment.
THE WEALTH CONTROL.
#23
The plate says a wealth control still leaves a gap.
A wealth-matched pair still differs.
SteelMan: Wealth is unequally distributed and is a real covariate.
Cut: The plate's match is fictional. Wealth is partly a result of earlier scores.
THE LEAD HYPOTHESIS.
#24
The plate says lead exposure is offered as the cause and does not date the gap.
A lead stamp is marked not sufficient.
SteelMan: Lead lowers scores and was unequally distributed. The gap predates the late lead era and remains after blood-lead fell.
Cut: The plate does not estimate the lead share. 'Not sufficient' is not 'not real'.
NUTRITION.
#25
The plate says nutrition is a real covariate and not a full account.
A diet card is marked partial.
SteelMan: Iodine, iron, and early diet affect scores. They do not, by themselves, produce a one-standard-deviation gap in current U.S. samples.
Cut: The plate does not measure a diet share.
SCHOOLING.
#26
The plate says years of school raise scores and do not close the gap.
A school arrow raises both lines.
SteelMan: Schooling is one of the few environmental factors the APA statement called certainly important. Extra years raise means.
Cut: The plate's parallel lines are not a school study. Quality, not just years, is the open variable.
STEREOTYPE THREAT.
#27
The plate says stereotype threat moves a score in a lab and does not account for the gap.
A lab arrow is small beside a population gap.
SteelMan: Threat effects are real in some experiments and small or absent in others. They are not the population gap.
Cut: The plate treats a failed full account as a failed effect. Those are different claims.
TEST ANXIETY.
#28
The plate says anxiety is a covariate and not the gap.
An anxiety stamp sits on a small arrow.
SteelMan: Anxiety correlates with test scores. It does not equal a one-standard-deviation mean shift.
Cut: The plate does not show the partial coefficient.
CULTURALLY LOADED ITEMS.
#29
The plate says the gap is not larger on the most culturally loaded items.
A culture-loaded item and a matrix item show the same gap.
SteelMan: That pattern is reported and cuts against a simple item-content account.
Cut: The plate's two items are cartoons. Item reviews are the evidence, and they are not shown.
RAVEN'S MATRICES.
#30
The plate says the gap appears on Raven's, a nonverbal test.
A matrix puzzle is marked same gap.
SteelMan: Raven gaps are reported. The test is less verbal, not culture-free.
Cut: The plate equates nonverbal with culture-free. Raven has its own schooling correlation.
BACKWARD DIGIT SPAN.
#31
The plate says a gap appears on working-memory tasks.
A digit-span card differs by group.
SteelMan: Working-memory differences are reported and are smaller than the full-scale gap.
Cut: The plate's card has no numbers.
BRAIN SIZE.
#32
The plate says average brain volume differs by group and correlates with g.
A volume figure sits beside an IQ figure.
SteelMan: MRI studies find a modest correlation of brain volume with g, and some group averages differ.
Cut: The plate treats a volume difference as the explanation. The correlation is too small, and the group volume literature is contested.
REACTION-TIME VARIANCE.
#33
The plate says within-person reaction-time variance, not just the mean, differs.
A variance bar is higher for one group.
SteelMan: Variability measures have been reported. They are not a standard population result.
Cut: The plate's bar is unlabeled.
AGE AT ADOPTION.
#34
The plate says earlier adoption should close the gap if the cause is postnatal, and that it did not.
An early-adoption bar still differs.
SteelMan: Age at adoption is the right test. The Minnesota sample was not adopted at birth in every case.
Cut: The plate's early bar is not the study's age split.
MIXED ANCESTRY.
#35
The plate says mixed-ancestry means fall between the two group means.
A middle bar sits between two others.
SteelMan: Intermediate means are reported in some samples and not in others.
Cut: The plate's middle bar is a prediction, not a table. Ancestry is not a parentage checkbox.
ADMIXTURE.
#36
The plate says genome-wide ancestry should correlate with the score if the gap is genetic.
An ancestry axis is drawn against a score.
SteelMan: That correlation is the current genetic test. Published estimates disagree in sign and size.
Cut: The plate draws the prediction as a result. It is not.
POLYGENIC SCORES.
#37
The plate says polygenic scores predict individual scores and do not yet explain the group gap.
A score arrow works within a group and is marked open between groups.
SteelMan: Within-family prediction is the cleaner genetic result. Cross-population transfer is weaker.
Cut: The plate's open arrow is fair. A later study can close it. The plate cannot.
THE ENVIRONMENT SHARE.
#38
The plate says environment is real and is not the whole gap.
An environment arrow is marked partial.
SteelMan: The APA statement said environmental factors contribute substantially and are poorly specified.
Cut: The plate uses 'partial' as if the remainder were genetic. The remainder is unexplained.
SHARED ENVIRONMENT.
#39
The plate says shared family environment fades by adulthood.
A family arrow shrinks from childhood to adulthood.
SteelMan: Adoption and twin studies find shared-environment influence on IQ declines with age.
Cut: The plate treats that fade as a group-gap result. It is a within-family result.
NONSHARED ENVIRONMENT.
#40
The plate says the remaining environment is nonshared and hard to name.
A residual arrow is marked unnamed.
SteelMan: Nonshared environment is the residual in twin models. It includes measurement error.
Cut: The plate equates an unnamed residual with a small environment. Those are not the same.
FLYNN AND NUTRITION.
#41
The plate says the Flynn rise is partly nutrition and schooling, and the group gap did not track it one for one.
A rising national line and a slower gap line.
SteelMan: Both claims are argued in the Flynn literature.
Cut: The plate does not show the two series on one scale.
HEAD START.
#42
The plate says early programs raise scores and the gain fades.
A preschool arrow rises, then falls.
SteelMan: Fade-out of IQ gains is the usual Head Start finding. Schooling gains sometimes remain.
Cut: The plate treats fade-out as a closed case against environment. A fade is not a zero effect.
ABECEDARIAN.
#43
The plate says the intensive preschool trials did not close a one-standard-deviation gap.
A trial arrow is shorter than the gap.
SteelMan: Abecedarian raised early scores. Adult IQ effects are smaller than the original gap.
Cut: The plate's arrow is not the trial. A smaller effect is not a null effect.
MILITARY SAMPLES.
#44
The plate says the gap appears in AFQT military samples.
An AFQT card differs by group.
SteelMan: The NLSY AFQT gap is one of the most cited adult figures.
Cut: The plate does not print the means. AFQT is a vocational battery, not a clinical IQ test.
THE GPA GAP.
#45
The plate says high-school GPA gaps are smaller than IQ gaps and do not erase them.
A GPA gap is shorter than a test gap.
SteelMan: Grades and tests are different instruments. Grades include effort and course choice.
Cut: The plate's lengths are props.
COLLEGE GRADES.
#46
The plate says the test gap reappears as a college-grade gap after admission.
A grade card differs inside one campus.
SteelMan: Mismatch research argues that admission gaps reappear in grades and completion.
Cut: The plate does not show a campus table. Major choice changes the grade.
THE BAR EXAM.
#47
The plate says professional licensing exams show the same gap.
A bar-pass card differs by group.
SteelMan: Pass rates differ by race on several licensing exams.
Cut: The plate's card is unlabeled. A pass-rate gap is not a 15-point IQ gap.
MEDICAL BOARDS.
#48
The plate says medical-board gaps match the admission gap.
A board score sits on the same ruler.
SteelMan: Board scores differ by group.
Cut: The plate equates a selected profession with a population. The samples differ.
OCCUPATIONAL ATTAINMENT.
#49
The plate says the IQ gap reappears as an occupational-status gap.
A status ladder differs by group.
SteelMan: The APA statement said a correlation of scores with occupational status remains after education and family background are controlled.
Cut: The plate treats that correlation as the group gap. Status also tracks discrimination, networks, and field choice.
THE CRIME CORRELATION.
#50
The plate says low IQ predicts crime within groups, so a mean gap predicts a crime gap.
An IQ arrow points at a crime rate.
SteelMan: IQ predicts offending within groups. A mean shift changes the expected rate if nothing else differs.
Cut: The plate skips age, sex, and neighborhood. A prediction is not the crime table.
NOT A PERSON.
#51
The plate says a group mean is not a judgment of a named person.
A mean card is crossed out over one figure.
SteelMan: The logical point is correct. Overlap is large.
Cut: The plate uses the point and still draws the tail as a group verdict on other plates.
THE OVERLAP.
#52
The plate says the distributions overlap, so most individuals are not in the exclusive tail.
Two curves share most of their area.
SteelMan: A one-standard-deviation shift leaves most people inside the shared range.
Cut: The plate's shaded share is not calculated.
THE VARIANCE.
#53
The plate says the black distribution is sometimes drawn wider, and the evidence is mixed.
Two widths, one marked uncertain.
SteelMan: Variance differences are reported in some batteries and not in others.
Cut: The plate's wider curve is a prop.
THE SEX COMPARISON.
#54
The plate says a male variance difference is accepted and a group mean difference is not.
A variance diagram is marked publishable. A mean diagram is marked not.
SteelMan: Male variance on some tests is a reported finding. The publication difference is a norm, not a result.
Cut: The plate equates a variance claim with a mean claim. They are different measurements.
THE ASHKENAZI MEAN.
#55
The plate says the Ashkenazi mean is above the European mean, so group means are not a taboo only in one direction.
A higher mean is marked about one half to one standard deviation up.
SteelMan: A higher Ashkenazi verbal mean is a reported finding.
Cut: The plate's size is its own. A higher mean elsewhere does not identify the cause of the black-white gap.
THE EAST ASIAN MEAN.
#56
The plate says East Asian means are higher on visuospatial tests.
A visuospatial bar is higher.
SteelMan: That pattern is reported on some batteries and is smaller than the plate implies.
Cut: The plate's bar is unlabeled. National samples and American samples disagree in size.
THE AFRICAN MEAN.
#57
The plate says sub-Saharan means are lower than African American means.
A lower bar is marked Africa.
SteelMan: Some compilations report lower means. Schooling, nutrition, and test conditions differ sharply.
Cut: The plate treats a compilation as a population IQ. Test conditions are not held constant.
IMMIGRANT SELECTION.
#58
The plate says African and Caribbean immigrants are selected and their children do not match the selection story.
A selected parent bar and a lower child bar.
SteelMan: Selection is real. Second-generation means are the test of a pure-selection account.
Cut: The plate's child bar is not a study.
COLORISM.
#59
The plate says a within-group color gradient is offered as genetic and is confounded by status.
A skin-tone axis is marked confounded.
SteelMan: Color correlates with status and with measured ancestry in some samples.
Cut: The plate does not separate the two. A gradient is not an ancestry coefficient.
THE CASTE HYPOTHESIS.
#60
The plate says a caste account predicts a gap that should close when caste weakens, and that the test-score gap did not close in step.
A caste arrow shrinks. A score gap does not.
SteelMan: Legal caste changed faster than the test gap. That cuts a pure caste story.
Cut: The plate's arrows are not dated. Caste is not only a statute.
THE DISCRIMINATION ACCOUNT.
#61
The plate says discrimination is real and does not, by itself, produce a g-loaded gap.
A discrimination stamp is marked not sufficient.
SteelMan: Hiring and schooling discrimination are documented. A g pattern is a separate fact.
Cut: The plate treats 'not sufficient' as 'not real'.
THE EXPECTATION ACCOUNT.
#62
The plate says teacher expectation is too small to be the gap.
A small expectation arrow sits beside the gap.
SteelMan: Expectation effects exist and are smaller than one standard deviation in the better studies.
Cut: The plate's arrow is not a study.
MOTIVATION.
#63
The plate says incentive studies do not close the gap.
A paid-test bar still differs.
SteelMan: Incentives raise scores. They do not erase group means in the studies usually cited.
Cut: The plate does not name the study.
LANGUAGE.
#64
The plate says the gap remains among native English speakers.
A native-speaker filter still shows a gap.
SteelMan: Dialect and language are real covariates. They do not account for a nonverbal gap.
Cut: The plate's filter is not a sample.
REGION.
#65
The plate says the gap appears in every U.S. region.
Four regional pairs all differ.
SteelMan: Regional means differ, and the black-white gap is reported in each census region.
Cut: The plate's four pairs are unlabeled.
COHORT.
#66
The plate says the gap appears in cohorts born after civil rights.
A post-1964 cohort still shows a gap.
SteelMan: Later cohorts narrowed on some tests and not on others.
Cut: The plate's post-1964 line is not NAEP. A remaining gap is not an unchanged gap.
AFTER INTEGRATION.
#67
The plate says the AFQT gap remained after the integrated force.
A post-1970s military card still differs.
SteelMan: The volunteer-force AFQT gap is documented.
Cut: The plate does not print the means.
SPECIAL EDUCATION.
#68
The plate says special-education placement follows the left tail.
A placement bar is higher for the lower mean.
SteelMan: A mean shift predicts more placements below a cutoff if the cutoff is shared.
Cut: Placement also follows school policy. The plate's bar is not a count.
GIFTED PLACEMENT.
#69
The plate says gifted placement follows the right tail.
A gifted bar is higher for the higher mean.
SteelMan: The same cutoff logic applies.
Cut: Selection into gifted programs is not only a test. The plate ignores referral.
THE CUTOFF.
#70
The plate says a shared cutoff, not a different test, produces the placement gap.
One line cuts two curves.
SteelMan: That is the tail arithmetic.
Cut: The plate assumes the cutoff is the only screen. It is not.
WHAT THE CURVE IS NOT.
#71
The plate says the curve is a description, not a permit and not a ban.
A curve sits between a stamp that says do not cite and a stamp that says therefore.
SteelMan: A mean describes a recorded distribution. It does not try a person.
Cut: The plate's moral is a reading rule. It is not a new measurement.
PUBLICATION BIAS.
#72
The plate says null environmental results are filed as inconclusive and genetic results as unpublishable.
Two folders, different stamps.
SteelMan: The publication norm is real. It is not a finding about the gap.
Cut: The plate equates a filing rule with a result.
THE APA WORDING.
#73
The plate says the 1996 APA statement recorded the gap and did not assign its cause.
A statement is marked gap known, cause open.
SteelMan: The task force said genetic differences matter for individual differences and did not settle the group difference.
Cut: The plate's paraphrase is fair. The press release is not the full report.
THE BELL CURVE.
#74
The plate says The Bell Curve stated the gap and a partial genetic hypothesis, and that the hypothesis is not the data.
A book is split into data and hypothesis.
SteelMan: The data chapters and the genetic chapters are separable.
Cut: The plate does not cite a page. The hypothesis is the book's, not a later proof.
THE RUSHTON-JENSEN REVIEW.
#75
The plate says the 2005 review concluded the gap is partly genetic.
A review is marked 50 to 80 percent genetic.
SteelMan: That range is the authors' conclusion, not a measurement.
Cut: The plate prints the conclusion as a result. It is an inference.
THE NISBETT REPLY.
#76
The plate says the environmental reply exists and does not close the gap.
A reply book is marked partial.
SteelMan: Nisbett's review argues for a larger environmental share.
Cut: The plate treats the reply as a failed close. It is a competing account.
THE EXPERT SURVEY.
#77
The plate says intelligence researchers split on the cause and do not split on the gap.
A survey bar is marked gap agreed, cause split.
SteelMan: Snyderman and Rothman, and later surveys, found that pattern.
Cut: The plate's bars are not a survey. Expert opinion is not a heritability.
WITHIN FAMILY.
#78
The plate says a sibling comparison is the clean genetic test and is rarely shown.
A within-family arrow is marked missing.
SteelMan: Within-family ancestry or polygenic tests are the current design.
Cut: The plate's missing arrow is not a result. Absence of a figure is not a finding.
ADOPTEE GRADES.
#79
The plate says adoptee grades followed the test gap.
A grade card differs inside the adoptive sample.
SteelMan: The Minnesota follow-up reported academic outcomes as well as IQ.
Cut: The plate's card is not the table.
AGE OF THE GAIN.
#80
The plate says intervention gains are largest before school and fade after.
A preschool peak, then a decline.
SteelMan: That shape is the usual early-program result.
Cut: The plate's peak is unlabeled.
IODINE.
#81
The plate says iodine deficiency lowers scores and is not the U.S. gap.
An iodine stamp is marked elsewhere.
SteelMan: Iodine matters where deficiency is common. It is not the current U.S. black-white gap.
Cut: The plate does not show a deficiency rate.
BREASTFEEDING.
#82
The plate says breastfeeding raises scores and does not close the gap.
A feeding arrow is small.
SteelMan: Breastfeeding effects on IQ are small in the better studies.
Cut: The plate's arrow is not a trial.
FATHER ABSENCE.
#83
The plate says father absence is more common and does not account for the g gap.
A household arrow is marked partial.
SteelMan: Family structure correlates with scores. It is not a one-standard-deviation account in the regressions usually cited.
Cut: The plate's arrow is not a coefficient.
TELEVISION.
#84
The plate says hours of television are offered as the cause and are too small.
A screen arrow is short.
SteelMan: Media time correlates weakly with scores.
Cut: The plate's arrow is not a study.
DIALECT.
#85
The plate says dialect differences do not explain a matrix gap.
A dialect stamp sits on a verbal item, not on a matrix.
SteelMan: That split is the right test.
Cut: The plate's two items are cartoons.
EXAMINER RACE.
#86
The plate says examiner race does not close the gap.
A matched-examiner pair still differs.
SteelMan: Examiner effects are small in the studies usually cited.
Cut: The plate's pair is not a study.
TEST PREP.
#87
The plate says coaching raises a score and does not close the gap.
A coaching arrow is shorter than the gap.
SteelMan: Coaching effects are real and smaller than one standard deviation.
Cut: The plate's arrow is not a coaching trial.
SELECTIVE SCHOOLS.
#88
The plate says the gap remains inside selective schools.
A campus pair still differs.
SteelMan: Admitted students still differ on the admission test, so a remaining gap is expected.
Cut: The plate treats the campus as an environment held constant. The admission scores were not.
MILITARY TRAINING.
#89
The plate says standardized military training does not close the AFQT gap.
A training arrow raises both lines.
SteelMan: Shared training is a useful control. It does not erase prior differences.
Cut: The plate's lines are not a military table.
HEALTH AT BIRTH.
#90
The plate says birth weight differs and does not account for the later gap.
A birth-weight arrow is marked partial.
SteelMan: Birth weight correlates with later scores and differs by group.
Cut: The plate does not show the partial coefficient.
MATERNAL AGE.
#91
The plate says maternal age is a covariate and not the gap.
An age stamp is marked partial.
SteelMan: Age at birth correlates with child scores.
Cut: The plate's stamp is not a regression.
NEIGHBORHOOD.
#92
The plate says neighborhood controls shrink the gap and do not close it.
A neighborhood-matched pair still differs.
SteelMan: Neighborhood is a real covariate. Matching on it is partly matching on prior scores.
Cut: The plate's pair is fictional.
WHAT WOULD COUNT.
#93
The plate says a within-family ancestry correlation, or a closed gap after a named intervention, would decide the cause.
Two tests are drawn, neither checked.
SteelMan: Those are the decisive designs.
Cut: The plate leaves them blank and still writes as if the cause were known.
TAIL ARITHMETIC.
#94
The plate says a 15-point shift implies a large ratio above 130.
A 130 line cuts two curves.
SteelMan: The arithmetic is right if both distributions are normal with equal variance.
Cut: The plate does not state the variance assumption. Real tails are thinner than a normal curve.
NOT EXACTLY FIFTEEN.
#95
The plate says the gap is about one standard deviation, not a law of fifteen points.
A ruler is marked about 15.
SteelMan: The adult figure is near that on several batteries and lower on others.
Cut: The plate's 'about' is the right word. Other plates in the set drop it.
CODING SPEED.
#96
The plate says the gap is smaller on clerical speed tests.
A speed bar is shorter than a reasoning bar.
SteelMan: That pattern is reported and fits a g gradient.
Cut: The plate's bars are unlabeled.
MEMORY SPAN.
#97
The plate says forward digit span shows a smaller gap than backward span.
Two span bars, forward shorter.
SteelMan: The pattern is reported.
Cut: The plate's bars have no numbers.
SPATIAL AND VERBAL.
#98
The plate says the black-white gap is not confined to verbal items.
A verbal bar and a spatial bar both differ.
SteelMan: Both differences are reported. The verbal gap is often larger.
Cut: The plate's equal bars overstate the match.
THE HISPANIC MEAN.
#99
The plate says the Hispanic mean falls between the black and white means.
A middle bar.
SteelMan: That order is the usual NAEP and IQ report.
Cut: The plate's bar is unlabeled. Hispanic samples differ by national origin.
THE NATIVE AMERICAN MEAN.
#100
The plate says Native American means are closer to the white mean on some tests and not on others.
A split bar.
SteelMan: The pattern is reported and varies by test and nation.
Cut: The plate's split is not a table.
THE OPEN CAUSE.
#101
The plate says the gap is a finding and the cause is not assigned.
A known stamp and an open stamp.
SteelMan: That split matches the APA statement.
Cut: The set's earlier plates assign the cause the frame plate leaves open.
DO NOT CITE.
#102
The plate says the gap is treated as unprintable rather than as a table.
A table is stamped do not cite.
SteelMan: A publication norm is not a measurement.
Cut: The plate equates silence with a false table. Silence is not a result.
WHAT THE CURVE IS FOR.
#103
The plate says the curve describes a distribution and does not license a judgment of a person.
A curve sits under a crossed-out verdict.
SteelMan: Overlap makes a person-level verdict invalid.
Cut: The plate's rule is sound. It does not identify the cause of the mean.