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Race Diversity IQ

THE GAP ON THE CURVE.

#0

The plate says a black-white gap of about one standard deviation sits on the same bell curve.

THE GAP ON THE CURVE.

Two overlapping curves, means marked about 85 and 100.

SteelMan: A mean gap of that size is the standard report from U.S. IQ batteries.

Cut: The plate's 85 and 100 are its marks. One curve does not make the gap genetic.

ONE STANDARD DEVIATION.

#1

The plate says the black-white gap is about 15 points, one standard deviation.

ONE STANDARD DEVIATION.

A ruler marks 15 points between two means.

SteelMan: The APA task force treated a black-white test-score gap as a known finding and left its cause open.

Cut: Fifteen points is the adult full-scale figure often cited. It is not every subtest, and it is not a cause.

THE TAIL.

#2

The plate says a one-standard-deviation mean gap becomes a several-fold gap in the right tail.

THE TAIL.

A threshold line cuts two curves, the higher mean supplying more of the tail.

SteelMan: A mean shift does change tail ratios if the distributions are roughly normal.

Cut: The plate's multiple is not calculated. Tail ratios also depend on variance, which the plate does not show.

g, NOT A SUBTEST.

#3

The plate says the gap is largest on the g factor, not on a single subtest.

g, NOT A SUBTEST.

A factor arrow is larger than the subtest arrows.

SteelMan: g is the common factor across cognitive tests. The gap is not confined to one item type.

Cut: The plate does not show a factor analysis. A larger g loading is not a genetic finding.

REACTION TIME.

#4

The plate says elementary cognitive tasks, including reaction time, show a smaller gap in the same direction.

REACTION TIME.

A timer sits beside an IQ card.

SteelMan: Choice reaction time correlates modestly with g. Group differences there are smaller and less stable.

Cut: The plate treats a timer as the same object as a full-scale IQ. It is not.

NO TEST BIAS.

#5

The plate says the tests predict grades and job performance equally across groups, so the gap is not a biased item.

NO TEST BIAS.

A regression line is the same for two groups.

SteelMan: Predictive validity is the standard test of bias. Equal slopes cut against a simple item-bias account.

Cut: Equal prediction does not explain the mean gap. The plate's lines are not a validity study.

THE SPEARMAN HYPOTHESIS.

#6

The plate says the black-white gap is larger on more g-loaded tests.

THE SPEARMAN HYPOTHESIS.

A scatter of subtests rises with g loading.

SteelMan: That rank-order pattern is the Spearman hypothesis, and it has been reported on several batteries.

Cut: The plate's scatter is unlabeled. A g pattern is not a heritability.

WITHIN-GROUP HERITABILITY.

#7

The plate says IQ is substantially heritable within groups, and that this does not by itself explain the group gap.

WITHIN-GROUP HERITABILITY.

A twin diagram is marked high heritability, then a separate group arrow.

SteelMan: The APA statement said genetic differences contribute substantially to individual differences, and that the cause of group differences was not settled.

Cut: The plate is right to separate the two. It then leans on the within-group figure as if it transferred.

BETWEEN IS NOT WITHIN.

#8

The plate says a high within-group heritability does not logically settle the between-group gap.

BETWEEN IS NOT WITHIN.

A within arrow and a between arrow are drawn as different questions.

SteelMan: The logical point is correct. Heritability is a within-population variance share.

Cut: The plate uses the logical point and still treats the group gap as genetic on other plates. Both cannot be a proof.

THE ADOPTION DESIGN.

#9

The plate says transracial adoption is the clean test and that the gap remained.

THE ADOPTION DESIGN.

Black children in white homes are still below white adoptees.

SteelMan: The Minnesota study found black adoptees about 15 to 17 points below white adoptees at ages 7 and 17, before Flynn correction.

Cut: The 1992 authors did not call the result a genetic proof. Late testing, selective placement, and pre-adoption conditions remain open.

THE MINNESOTA FOLLOW-UP.

#10

The plate says the gap was larger at 17 than the early headlines implied.

THE MINNESOTA FOLLOW-UP.

Two ages, 7 and 17, with the gap marked persistent.

SteelMan: The follow-up retested the children at about 17. The black-white adoptee gap remained.

Cut: Flynn-corrected figures published later are larger, not smaller. The plate does not print those corrections.

THE EYFERTH CAVEAT.

#11

The plate says the Eyferth study of occupation children is the usual reply and is a selected sample.

THE EYFERTH CAVEAT.

A German sample is marked selected.

SteelMan: Eyferth is a small study of children of Allied soldiers and German mothers. It is not a U.S. population sample.

Cut: The plate dismisses it without the result. A selected sample can still cut a universal genetic claim.

THE FLYNN EFFECT.

#12

The plate says scores rose across the century and the black-white gap did not close by the same amount.

THE FLYNN EFFECT.

Two rising lines, the gap marked smaller but open.

SteelMan: Scores did rise. The black-white gap narrowed on some tests in some decades and not on others.

Cut: The plate's 'did not close' is too flat. NAEP and some IQ series show partial convergence.

THE NARROWING.

#13

The plate says the gap narrowed and then stalled.

THE NARROWING.

A falling gap flattens.

SteelMan: Dickens and Flynn reported narrowing on some instruments through the late twentieth century.

Cut: The plate's stall date is not given. A stall on one test is not a stall on all of them.

THE NAEP GAP.

#14

The plate says the NAEP black-white gap narrowed after the 1970s and remains.

THE NAEP GAP.

Two score lines, a remaining gap.

SteelMan: NAEP long-term trend gaps did narrow and remain on reading and math.

Cut: The plate does not print the scale points. NAEP is not an IQ test.

THE SAT GAP.

#15

The plate says the SAT black-white gap is stable.

THE SAT GAP.

Two SAT means, a fixed gap.

SteelMan: College Board means differ by race, and the gap has not closed.

Cut: SAT takers are not a population sample. The plate's means are not printed.

THE GRE GAP.

#16

The plate says the GRE gap matches the IQ gap.

THE GRE GAP.

A GRE card sits on the same 15-point ruler.

SteelMan: Graduate exam means differ by group.

Cut: The plate equates a selected exam with a population IQ. The samples are not the same.

JOB PERFORMANCE.

#17

The plate says g predicts job performance and the gap reappears in rated performance.

JOB PERFORMANCE.

A validity arrow runs from g to a job rating.

SteelMan: Meta-analyses find g predicts training and job performance.

Cut: A rating gap is not an IQ gap. Supervisor ratings have their own bias.

TRAINING SUCCESS.

#18

The plate says the gap appears in training scores, not only in paper tests.

TRAINING SUCCESS.

A classroom scorecard differs by group.

SteelMan: Training criteria correlate with g. Group differences there are reported.

Cut: The plate's card is unlabeled. Training is not independent of the same schooling.

REGRESSION TO THE MEAN.

#19

The plate says children of high-scoring black parents regress toward a lower group mean.

REGRESSION TO THE MEAN.

A parent-child diagram regresses to different means.

SteelMan: Regression to the group mean is the prediction if the means differ and the trait is imperfectly transmitted.

Cut: The plate treats that prediction as proof of a genetic mean. The same pattern follows from any stable mean difference.

THE SES CONTROL.

#20

The plate says the gap shrinks but remains after a socioeconomic control.

THE SES CONTROL.

Two bars, uncontrolled and controlled, the second shorter.

SteelMan: SES accounts for a share of the gap and not all of it in most regressions.

Cut: The plate's remaining share is not a coefficient. SES is partly downstream of the same scores.

THE INCOME CONTROL.

#21

The plate says matching on parental income does not close the gap.

THE INCOME CONTROL.

Two income-matched bars still differ.

SteelMan: Income is a weak stand-in for the cognitive environment. Matched-income gaps are reported.

Cut: The plate's match is not a study. Income bands hide wealth and parental education.

PARENTAL EDUCATION.

#22

The plate says the gap remains inside the same parental-education cell.

PARENTAL EDUCATION.

A college-parent cell still shows a gap.

SteelMan: Parent education is the stronger SES covariate, and a gap inside that cell is reported.

Cut: The plate does not show the cell size. College-educated parents are not one environment.

THE WEALTH CONTROL.

#23

The plate says a wealth control still leaves a gap.

THE WEALTH CONTROL.

A wealth-matched pair still differs.

SteelMan: Wealth is unequally distributed and is a real covariate.

Cut: The plate's match is fictional. Wealth is partly a result of earlier scores.

THE LEAD HYPOTHESIS.

#24

The plate says lead exposure is offered as the cause and does not date the gap.

THE LEAD HYPOTHESIS.

A lead stamp is marked not sufficient.

SteelMan: Lead lowers scores and was unequally distributed. The gap predates the late lead era and remains after blood-lead fell.

Cut: The plate does not estimate the lead share. 'Not sufficient' is not 'not real'.

NUTRITION.

#25

The plate says nutrition is a real covariate and not a full account.

NUTRITION.

A diet card is marked partial.

SteelMan: Iodine, iron, and early diet affect scores. They do not, by themselves, produce a one-standard-deviation gap in current U.S. samples.

Cut: The plate does not measure a diet share.

SCHOOLING.

#26

The plate says years of school raise scores and do not close the gap.

SCHOOLING.

A school arrow raises both lines.

SteelMan: Schooling is one of the few environmental factors the APA statement called certainly important. Extra years raise means.

Cut: The plate's parallel lines are not a school study. Quality, not just years, is the open variable.

STEREOTYPE THREAT.

#27

The plate says stereotype threat moves a score in a lab and does not account for the gap.

STEREOTYPE THREAT.

A lab arrow is small beside a population gap.

SteelMan: Threat effects are real in some experiments and small or absent in others. They are not the population gap.

Cut: The plate treats a failed full account as a failed effect. Those are different claims.

TEST ANXIETY.

#28

The plate says anxiety is a covariate and not the gap.

TEST ANXIETY.

An anxiety stamp sits on a small arrow.

SteelMan: Anxiety correlates with test scores. It does not equal a one-standard-deviation mean shift.

Cut: The plate does not show the partial coefficient.

CULTURALLY LOADED ITEMS.

#29

The plate says the gap is not larger on the most culturally loaded items.

CULTURALLY LOADED ITEMS.

A culture-loaded item and a matrix item show the same gap.

SteelMan: That pattern is reported and cuts against a simple item-content account.

Cut: The plate's two items are cartoons. Item reviews are the evidence, and they are not shown.

RAVEN'S MATRICES.

#30

The plate says the gap appears on Raven's, a nonverbal test.

RAVEN'S MATRICES.

A matrix puzzle is marked same gap.

SteelMan: Raven gaps are reported. The test is less verbal, not culture-free.

Cut: The plate equates nonverbal with culture-free. Raven has its own schooling correlation.

BACKWARD DIGIT SPAN.

#31

The plate says a gap appears on working-memory tasks.

BACKWARD DIGIT SPAN.

A digit-span card differs by group.

SteelMan: Working-memory differences are reported and are smaller than the full-scale gap.

Cut: The plate's card has no numbers.

BRAIN SIZE.

#32

The plate says average brain volume differs by group and correlates with g.

BRAIN SIZE.

A volume figure sits beside an IQ figure.

SteelMan: MRI studies find a modest correlation of brain volume with g, and some group averages differ.

Cut: The plate treats a volume difference as the explanation. The correlation is too small, and the group volume literature is contested.

REACTION-TIME VARIANCE.

#33

The plate says within-person reaction-time variance, not just the mean, differs.

REACTION-TIME VARIANCE.

A variance bar is higher for one group.

SteelMan: Variability measures have been reported. They are not a standard population result.

Cut: The plate's bar is unlabeled.

AGE AT ADOPTION.

#34

The plate says earlier adoption should close the gap if the cause is postnatal, and that it did not.

AGE AT ADOPTION.

An early-adoption bar still differs.

SteelMan: Age at adoption is the right test. The Minnesota sample was not adopted at birth in every case.

Cut: The plate's early bar is not the study's age split.

MIXED ANCESTRY.

#35

The plate says mixed-ancestry means fall between the two group means.

MIXED ANCESTRY.

A middle bar sits between two others.

SteelMan: Intermediate means are reported in some samples and not in others.

Cut: The plate's middle bar is a prediction, not a table. Ancestry is not a parentage checkbox.

ADMIXTURE.

#36

The plate says genome-wide ancestry should correlate with the score if the gap is genetic.

ADMIXTURE.

An ancestry axis is drawn against a score.

SteelMan: That correlation is the current genetic test. Published estimates disagree in sign and size.

Cut: The plate draws the prediction as a result. It is not.

POLYGENIC SCORES.

#37

The plate says polygenic scores predict individual scores and do not yet explain the group gap.

POLYGENIC SCORES.

A score arrow works within a group and is marked open between groups.

SteelMan: Within-family prediction is the cleaner genetic result. Cross-population transfer is weaker.

Cut: The plate's open arrow is fair. A later study can close it. The plate cannot.

THE ENVIRONMENT SHARE.

#38

The plate says environment is real and is not the whole gap.

THE ENVIRONMENT SHARE.

An environment arrow is marked partial.

SteelMan: The APA statement said environmental factors contribute substantially and are poorly specified.

Cut: The plate uses 'partial' as if the remainder were genetic. The remainder is unexplained.

SHARED ENVIRONMENT.

#39

The plate says shared family environment fades by adulthood.

SHARED ENVIRONMENT.

A family arrow shrinks from childhood to adulthood.

SteelMan: Adoption and twin studies find shared-environment influence on IQ declines with age.

Cut: The plate treats that fade as a group-gap result. It is a within-family result.

NONSHARED ENVIRONMENT.

#40

The plate says the remaining environment is nonshared and hard to name.

NONSHARED ENVIRONMENT.

A residual arrow is marked unnamed.

SteelMan: Nonshared environment is the residual in twin models. It includes measurement error.

Cut: The plate equates an unnamed residual with a small environment. Those are not the same.

FLYNN AND NUTRITION.

#41

The plate says the Flynn rise is partly nutrition and schooling, and the group gap did not track it one for one.

FLYNN AND NUTRITION.

A rising national line and a slower gap line.

SteelMan: Both claims are argued in the Flynn literature.

Cut: The plate does not show the two series on one scale.

HEAD START.

#42

The plate says early programs raise scores and the gain fades.

HEAD START.

A preschool arrow rises, then falls.

SteelMan: Fade-out of IQ gains is the usual Head Start finding. Schooling gains sometimes remain.

Cut: The plate treats fade-out as a closed case against environment. A fade is not a zero effect.

ABECEDARIAN.

#43

The plate says the intensive preschool trials did not close a one-standard-deviation gap.

ABECEDARIAN.

A trial arrow is shorter than the gap.

SteelMan: Abecedarian raised early scores. Adult IQ effects are smaller than the original gap.

Cut: The plate's arrow is not the trial. A smaller effect is not a null effect.

MILITARY SAMPLES.

#44

The plate says the gap appears in AFQT military samples.

MILITARY SAMPLES.

An AFQT card differs by group.

SteelMan: The NLSY AFQT gap is one of the most cited adult figures.

Cut: The plate does not print the means. AFQT is a vocational battery, not a clinical IQ test.

THE GPA GAP.

#45

The plate says high-school GPA gaps are smaller than IQ gaps and do not erase them.

THE GPA GAP.

A GPA gap is shorter than a test gap.

SteelMan: Grades and tests are different instruments. Grades include effort and course choice.

Cut: The plate's lengths are props.

COLLEGE GRADES.

#46

The plate says the test gap reappears as a college-grade gap after admission.

COLLEGE GRADES.

A grade card differs inside one campus.

SteelMan: Mismatch research argues that admission gaps reappear in grades and completion.

Cut: The plate does not show a campus table. Major choice changes the grade.

THE BAR EXAM.

#47

The plate says professional licensing exams show the same gap.

THE BAR EXAM.

A bar-pass card differs by group.

SteelMan: Pass rates differ by race on several licensing exams.

Cut: The plate's card is unlabeled. A pass-rate gap is not a 15-point IQ gap.

MEDICAL BOARDS.

#48

The plate says medical-board gaps match the admission gap.

MEDICAL BOARDS.

A board score sits on the same ruler.

SteelMan: Board scores differ by group.

Cut: The plate equates a selected profession with a population. The samples differ.

OCCUPATIONAL ATTAINMENT.

#49

The plate says the IQ gap reappears as an occupational-status gap.

OCCUPATIONAL ATTAINMENT.

A status ladder differs by group.

SteelMan: The APA statement said a correlation of scores with occupational status remains after education and family background are controlled.

Cut: The plate treats that correlation as the group gap. Status also tracks discrimination, networks, and field choice.

THE CRIME CORRELATION.

#50

The plate says low IQ predicts crime within groups, so a mean gap predicts a crime gap.

THE CRIME CORRELATION.

An IQ arrow points at a crime rate.

SteelMan: IQ predicts offending within groups. A mean shift changes the expected rate if nothing else differs.

Cut: The plate skips age, sex, and neighborhood. A prediction is not the crime table.

NOT A PERSON.

#51

The plate says a group mean is not a judgment of a named person.

NOT A PERSON.

A mean card is crossed out over one figure.

SteelMan: The logical point is correct. Overlap is large.

Cut: The plate uses the point and still draws the tail as a group verdict on other plates.

THE OVERLAP.

#52

The plate says the distributions overlap, so most individuals are not in the exclusive tail.

THE OVERLAP.

Two curves share most of their area.

SteelMan: A one-standard-deviation shift leaves most people inside the shared range.

Cut: The plate's shaded share is not calculated.

THE VARIANCE.

#53

The plate says the black distribution is sometimes drawn wider, and the evidence is mixed.

THE VARIANCE.

Two widths, one marked uncertain.

SteelMan: Variance differences are reported in some batteries and not in others.

Cut: The plate's wider curve is a prop.

THE SEX COMPARISON.

#54

The plate says a male variance difference is accepted and a group mean difference is not.

THE SEX COMPARISON.

A variance diagram is marked publishable. A mean diagram is marked not.

SteelMan: Male variance on some tests is a reported finding. The publication difference is a norm, not a result.

Cut: The plate equates a variance claim with a mean claim. They are different measurements.

THE ASHKENAZI MEAN.

#55

The plate says the Ashkenazi mean is above the European mean, so group means are not a taboo only in one direction.

THE ASHKENAZI MEAN.

A higher mean is marked about one half to one standard deviation up.

SteelMan: A higher Ashkenazi verbal mean is a reported finding.

Cut: The plate's size is its own. A higher mean elsewhere does not identify the cause of the black-white gap.

THE EAST ASIAN MEAN.

#56

The plate says East Asian means are higher on visuospatial tests.

THE EAST ASIAN MEAN.

A visuospatial bar is higher.

SteelMan: That pattern is reported on some batteries and is smaller than the plate implies.

Cut: The plate's bar is unlabeled. National samples and American samples disagree in size.

THE AFRICAN MEAN.

#57

The plate says sub-Saharan means are lower than African American means.

THE AFRICAN MEAN.

A lower bar is marked Africa.

SteelMan: Some compilations report lower means. Schooling, nutrition, and test conditions differ sharply.

Cut: The plate treats a compilation as a population IQ. Test conditions are not held constant.

IMMIGRANT SELECTION.

#58

The plate says African and Caribbean immigrants are selected and their children do not match the selection story.

IMMIGRANT SELECTION.

A selected parent bar and a lower child bar.

SteelMan: Selection is real. Second-generation means are the test of a pure-selection account.

Cut: The plate's child bar is not a study.

COLORISM.

#59

The plate says a within-group color gradient is offered as genetic and is confounded by status.

COLORISM.

A skin-tone axis is marked confounded.

SteelMan: Color correlates with status and with measured ancestry in some samples.

Cut: The plate does not separate the two. A gradient is not an ancestry coefficient.

THE CASTE HYPOTHESIS.

#60

The plate says a caste account predicts a gap that should close when caste weakens, and that the test-score gap did not close in step.

THE CASTE HYPOTHESIS.

A caste arrow shrinks. A score gap does not.

SteelMan: Legal caste changed faster than the test gap. That cuts a pure caste story.

Cut: The plate's arrows are not dated. Caste is not only a statute.

THE DISCRIMINATION ACCOUNT.

#61

The plate says discrimination is real and does not, by itself, produce a g-loaded gap.

THE DISCRIMINATION ACCOUNT.

A discrimination stamp is marked not sufficient.

SteelMan: Hiring and schooling discrimination are documented. A g pattern is a separate fact.

Cut: The plate treats 'not sufficient' as 'not real'.

THE EXPECTATION ACCOUNT.

#62

The plate says teacher expectation is too small to be the gap.

THE EXPECTATION ACCOUNT.

A small expectation arrow sits beside the gap.

SteelMan: Expectation effects exist and are smaller than one standard deviation in the better studies.

Cut: The plate's arrow is not a study.

MOTIVATION.

#63

The plate says incentive studies do not close the gap.

MOTIVATION.

A paid-test bar still differs.

SteelMan: Incentives raise scores. They do not erase group means in the studies usually cited.

Cut: The plate does not name the study.

LANGUAGE.

#64

The plate says the gap remains among native English speakers.

LANGUAGE.

A native-speaker filter still shows a gap.

SteelMan: Dialect and language are real covariates. They do not account for a nonverbal gap.

Cut: The plate's filter is not a sample.

REGION.

#65

The plate says the gap appears in every U.S. region.

REGION.

Four regional pairs all differ.

SteelMan: Regional means differ, and the black-white gap is reported in each census region.

Cut: The plate's four pairs are unlabeled.

COHORT.

#66

The plate says the gap appears in cohorts born after civil rights.

COHORT.

A post-1964 cohort still shows a gap.

SteelMan: Later cohorts narrowed on some tests and not on others.

Cut: The plate's post-1964 line is not NAEP. A remaining gap is not an unchanged gap.

AFTER INTEGRATION.

#67

The plate says the AFQT gap remained after the integrated force.

AFTER INTEGRATION.

A post-1970s military card still differs.

SteelMan: The volunteer-force AFQT gap is documented.

Cut: The plate does not print the means.

SPECIAL EDUCATION.

#68

The plate says special-education placement follows the left tail.

SPECIAL EDUCATION.

A placement bar is higher for the lower mean.

SteelMan: A mean shift predicts more placements below a cutoff if the cutoff is shared.

Cut: Placement also follows school policy. The plate's bar is not a count.

GIFTED PLACEMENT.

#69

The plate says gifted placement follows the right tail.

GIFTED PLACEMENT.

A gifted bar is higher for the higher mean.

SteelMan: The same cutoff logic applies.

Cut: Selection into gifted programs is not only a test. The plate ignores referral.

THE CUTOFF.

#70

The plate says a shared cutoff, not a different test, produces the placement gap.

THE CUTOFF.

One line cuts two curves.

SteelMan: That is the tail arithmetic.

Cut: The plate assumes the cutoff is the only screen. It is not.

WHAT THE CURVE IS NOT.

#71

The plate says the curve is a description, not a permit and not a ban.

WHAT THE CURVE IS NOT.

A curve sits between a stamp that says do not cite and a stamp that says therefore.

SteelMan: A mean describes a recorded distribution. It does not try a person.

Cut: The plate's moral is a reading rule. It is not a new measurement.

PUBLICATION BIAS.

#72

The plate says null environmental results are filed as inconclusive and genetic results as unpublishable.

PUBLICATION BIAS.

Two folders, different stamps.

SteelMan: The publication norm is real. It is not a finding about the gap.

Cut: The plate equates a filing rule with a result.

THE APA WORDING.

#73

The plate says the 1996 APA statement recorded the gap and did not assign its cause.

THE APA WORDING.

A statement is marked gap known, cause open.

SteelMan: The task force said genetic differences matter for individual differences and did not settle the group difference.

Cut: The plate's paraphrase is fair. The press release is not the full report.

THE BELL CURVE.

#74

The plate says The Bell Curve stated the gap and a partial genetic hypothesis, and that the hypothesis is not the data.

THE BELL CURVE.

A book is split into data and hypothesis.

SteelMan: The data chapters and the genetic chapters are separable.

Cut: The plate does not cite a page. The hypothesis is the book's, not a later proof.

THE RUSHTON-JENSEN REVIEW.

#75

The plate says the 2005 review concluded the gap is partly genetic.

THE RUSHTON-JENSEN REVIEW.

A review is marked 50 to 80 percent genetic.

SteelMan: That range is the authors' conclusion, not a measurement.

Cut: The plate prints the conclusion as a result. It is an inference.

THE NISBETT REPLY.

#76

The plate says the environmental reply exists and does not close the gap.

THE NISBETT REPLY.

A reply book is marked partial.

SteelMan: Nisbett's review argues for a larger environmental share.

Cut: The plate treats the reply as a failed close. It is a competing account.

THE EXPERT SURVEY.

#77

The plate says intelligence researchers split on the cause and do not split on the gap.

THE EXPERT SURVEY.

A survey bar is marked gap agreed, cause split.

SteelMan: Snyderman and Rothman, and later surveys, found that pattern.

Cut: The plate's bars are not a survey. Expert opinion is not a heritability.

WITHIN FAMILY.

#78

The plate says a sibling comparison is the clean genetic test and is rarely shown.

WITHIN FAMILY.

A within-family arrow is marked missing.

SteelMan: Within-family ancestry or polygenic tests are the current design.

Cut: The plate's missing arrow is not a result. Absence of a figure is not a finding.

AGE OF THE GAIN.

#80

The plate says intervention gains are largest before school and fade after.

AGE OF THE GAIN.

A preschool peak, then a decline.

SteelMan: That shape is the usual early-program result.

Cut: The plate's peak is unlabeled.

IODINE.

#81

The plate says iodine deficiency lowers scores and is not the U.S. gap.

IODINE.

An iodine stamp is marked elsewhere.

SteelMan: Iodine matters where deficiency is common. It is not the current U.S. black-white gap.

Cut: The plate does not show a deficiency rate.

BREASTFEEDING.

#82

The plate says breastfeeding raises scores and does not close the gap.

BREASTFEEDING.

A feeding arrow is small.

SteelMan: Breastfeeding effects on IQ are small in the better studies.

Cut: The plate's arrow is not a trial.

FATHER ABSENCE.

#83

The plate says father absence is more common and does not account for the g gap.

FATHER ABSENCE.

A household arrow is marked partial.

SteelMan: Family structure correlates with scores. It is not a one-standard-deviation account in the regressions usually cited.

Cut: The plate's arrow is not a coefficient.

TELEVISION.

#84

The plate says hours of television are offered as the cause and are too small.

TELEVISION.

A screen arrow is short.

SteelMan: Media time correlates weakly with scores.

Cut: The plate's arrow is not a study.

DIALECT.

#85

The plate says dialect differences do not explain a matrix gap.

DIALECT.

A dialect stamp sits on a verbal item, not on a matrix.

SteelMan: That split is the right test.

Cut: The plate's two items are cartoons.

EXAMINER RACE.

#86

The plate says examiner race does not close the gap.

EXAMINER RACE.

A matched-examiner pair still differs.

SteelMan: Examiner effects are small in the studies usually cited.

Cut: The plate's pair is not a study.

TEST PREP.

#87

The plate says coaching raises a score and does not close the gap.

TEST PREP.

A coaching arrow is shorter than the gap.

SteelMan: Coaching effects are real and smaller than one standard deviation.

Cut: The plate's arrow is not a coaching trial.

SELECTIVE SCHOOLS.

#88

The plate says the gap remains inside selective schools.

SELECTIVE SCHOOLS.

A campus pair still differs.

SteelMan: Admitted students still differ on the admission test, so a remaining gap is expected.

Cut: The plate treats the campus as an environment held constant. The admission scores were not.

MILITARY TRAINING.

#89

The plate says standardized military training does not close the AFQT gap.

MILITARY TRAINING.

A training arrow raises both lines.

SteelMan: Shared training is a useful control. It does not erase prior differences.

Cut: The plate's lines are not a military table.

HEALTH AT BIRTH.

#90

The plate says birth weight differs and does not account for the later gap.

HEALTH AT BIRTH.

A birth-weight arrow is marked partial.

SteelMan: Birth weight correlates with later scores and differs by group.

Cut: The plate does not show the partial coefficient.

MATERNAL AGE.

#91

The plate says maternal age is a covariate and not the gap.

MATERNAL AGE.

An age stamp is marked partial.

SteelMan: Age at birth correlates with child scores.

Cut: The plate's stamp is not a regression.

NEIGHBORHOOD.

#92

The plate says neighborhood controls shrink the gap and do not close it.

NEIGHBORHOOD.

A neighborhood-matched pair still differs.

SteelMan: Neighborhood is a real covariate. Matching on it is partly matching on prior scores.

Cut: The plate's pair is fictional.

WHAT WOULD COUNT.

#93

The plate says a within-family ancestry correlation, or a closed gap after a named intervention, would decide the cause.

WHAT WOULD COUNT.

Two tests are drawn, neither checked.

SteelMan: Those are the decisive designs.

Cut: The plate leaves them blank and still writes as if the cause were known.

TAIL ARITHMETIC.

#94

The plate says a 15-point shift implies a large ratio above 130.

TAIL ARITHMETIC.

A 130 line cuts two curves.

SteelMan: The arithmetic is right if both distributions are normal with equal variance.

Cut: The plate does not state the variance assumption. Real tails are thinner than a normal curve.

NOT EXACTLY FIFTEEN.

#95

The plate says the gap is about one standard deviation, not a law of fifteen points.

NOT EXACTLY FIFTEEN.

A ruler is marked about 15.

SteelMan: The adult figure is near that on several batteries and lower on others.

Cut: The plate's 'about' is the right word. Other plates in the set drop it.

CODING SPEED.

#96

The plate says the gap is smaller on clerical speed tests.

CODING SPEED.

A speed bar is shorter than a reasoning bar.

SteelMan: That pattern is reported and fits a g gradient.

Cut: The plate's bars are unlabeled.

MEMORY SPAN.

#97

The plate says forward digit span shows a smaller gap than backward span.

MEMORY SPAN.

Two span bars, forward shorter.

SteelMan: The pattern is reported.

Cut: The plate's bars have no numbers.

SPATIAL AND VERBAL.

#98

The plate says the black-white gap is not confined to verbal items.

SPATIAL AND VERBAL.

A verbal bar and a spatial bar both differ.

SteelMan: Both differences are reported. The verbal gap is often larger.

Cut: The plate's equal bars overstate the match.

THE HISPANIC MEAN.

#99

The plate says the Hispanic mean falls between the black and white means.

THE HISPANIC MEAN.

A middle bar.

SteelMan: That order is the usual NAEP and IQ report.

Cut: The plate's bar is unlabeled. Hispanic samples differ by national origin.

THE NATIVE AMERICAN MEAN.

#100

The plate says Native American means are closer to the white mean on some tests and not on others.

THE NATIVE AMERICAN MEAN.

A split bar.

SteelMan: The pattern is reported and varies by test and nation.

Cut: The plate's split is not a table.

DO NOT CITE.

#102

The plate says the gap is treated as unprintable rather than as a table.

DO NOT CITE.

A table is stamped do not cite.

SteelMan: A publication norm is not a measurement.

Cut: The plate equates silence with a false table. Silence is not a result.

WHAT THE CURVE IS FOR.

#103

The plate says the curve describes a distribution and does not license a judgment of a person.

WHAT THE CURVE IS FOR.

A curve sits under a crossed-out verdict.

SteelMan: Overlap makes a person-level verdict invalid.

Cut: The plate's rule is sound. It does not identify the cause of the mean.

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